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Author: Case_man Timestamp:- 5/3/2010 11:46:25 AM Subject: Re: How would you beat Denman
Message: The only way Denman will get beat is by Mckevoy,yes he does ride some good races but look at the good horses he gets,watch the ride on Scarf at canterbury on thursday night and you'll see what he is capable of.Most over-rated jockey in the country.
Author: maccamax Timestamp:- 5/3/2010 9:13:45 AM Subject: Re: How would you beat Denman
Message: We never learn to accept that everything has its TRUE PRICE...... Ajax was beaten at [40/1 ON]..I wonder what his true price really was. before the event. I wonder what Denman's true price really is .... I believe he should be close to even money, but like all punters I am wrong more often than right... There is some doubt I expect at the 1600, wide draw , weather etc. If we concentrate on true price rather than our natural bias , the punt is a piece of cake Getting that overs is made a bit easier with the variety of betting outlets available these days [ especially Betfair ] I see a great overs in Heart Of Dreams in the Au Cup....$6 is great for a horse who has won 3 rd up at every campaign...Ticks all the boxes and for the doubters he will run 2000, on his fast 2 nd at his only attempt to Whoby. in the Yalumba....Handles Flemington and has matured since that run. He didn't finish off the 2040 of the CoxP but in a sizzler that stuffed all bar the winner.
Author: bkmac Timestamp:- 4/3/2010 10:50:05 PM Subject: Re: How would you beat Denman
Message: the trick is not killig your own horses chances of finishing as close to first as possible (obvious i know mcgarret). denman will have to roll forward I reckon and lead or sit outside Carrara. You have to think Rock Classic and Set For Fame box seat and one out one back. Linton has to go back from 8 alley i reckon. Hanks will be back as well. Moody has Set for Fame and Hanks and could pressure Denman early with Set For Fame. Of course Denman could be slowly away like last start and from the 9 alley they may be keen to hold him out and then he could be trapped on a limb. Bottom line is if he gets the front or outside the lead and gets to control it to a nicety he wins. I think Linton is very good and Rock Classic could be a surprise packet with his form lines being franked through Monton. Set for Fame is the one of the favs i am least keen on. If there is heaps of pressure up front then Hanks is good enough but more likely to see him work to the line late for 4th or 5th i would think.
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