Race Preview - 2018 Dante Stakes

Free tips and preview for the 2018 Dante Stakes from York.

Race Preview - 2018 Dante Stakes

The Dante is invariably a key point of reference to the Epsom Derby and that looks like being the case again in 2018.

Roaring Lion looks a terrific winning hope.
Roaring Lion looks a terrific winning hope. Picture:Pat Healy Photography

Of course, Derby betting is dominated at this stage by the Guineas winner Saxon Warrior, and it's unlikely that anything that happens in the Dante will change that fact, but it's still a race that looks sure to have a bearing on the pecking order at Epsom.

Roaring Lion was outbattled by Saxon Warrior in the Racing Post Trophy last season and no match for him in the 2000 Guineas last time but he ran very well there and deserves top billing at York given the step up in trip is highly likely to prove a positive for him.

Assessed Prices: Roaring Lion $2.00; Mildenberger $5.50; Nordic Lights $7.00; Crossed Baton $15.00.

Racing and Sports' assessed prices make Roaring Lion a 50% chance of success on the Knavesmire and that's a bet looking at the early markets where his chances are seen as more like 28%.

The major difference in opinion here comes from the Derby Trial at Epsom. Crossed Baton and James Cook are given good chances in the betting at this stage and are considered far less likely by our priceline.

That opens the way for Mildenberger, a good Newmarket winner on return who started 7-2 and ran well behind Roaring Lion last season, and Nordic Lights, two for two and heading the right way in a hurry for a hot yard, to represent value bets as well.

Adding confidence to our assessment is the SP of Roaring Lion at Newmarket in the Craven Stakes where he started odds-on against Masar.

Masar has gone on to prove himself a lot better than was thought at that time but the SP is still significant. The market has quickly shifted away from Roaring Lion and we are thinking that may be premature given that he ran very well in the 2000 Guineas and that looks an ideal platform him up in trip.

Racing And Sports

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