Sha Tin Selections for 16th July 2017

Selections and analysis for Sha Tin’s season finale on Sunday.

Sha Tin Selections for 16th July 2017

Selections and analysis for Sha Tin’s season finale on Sunday.

RACE 1: #2 Kwaichung Brothers, #11 Starry Starlies, #7 Happy Gains, #10 Furious Pegasus

RACE 2: #2 Best Tango, #9 Lightning And Gold, #3 Je Pense, #11 High Speed Metro

RACE 3: #5 Our Folks, #6 Phantom Falcon, #3 Multimax, #2 Mordicus

RACE 4: #7 Spring Win, #2 Noble De Boy, #10 The Full Bloom, #1 Association Fans

RACE 5: #3 King Of Mongolia, #8 Garlic Yeah, #5 King Bountiful, #4 Po Ching Treasure

RACE 6: #1 Experto Crede, #7 Jolly Gains, #10 Superior Boy, #11 Autopay

RACE 7: #8 Apollo's Choice, #4 Gold Land, #2 Sergeant Titanium, #10 Green Energy

RACE 8: #3 Booming Delight, #6 Time Warp, #4 Beat The Clock, #5 Supreme Profit

RACE 9: #12 High And Mighty, #11 Calculation, #6 World Record, #2 Chung Wah Spirit

RACE 10: #7 Ivictory, #12 All You Need, #9 Travel Datuk, #6 Thor The Greatest

RACE 11: #7 Mongolian King, #14 Baba Mama, #4 Pikachu, #2 Big Bang Bong


#2 Kwaichung Brothers has improved steadily throughout his first campaign and his first run down in Class 5 last time out was solid. The drop back to 1200m should be a plus and Joao Moreira does jump aboard now, so he bears close watching. #11 Starry Starlies has his first run in almost two months, but he appeared to be finding form for former trainer Paul O’Sullivan and that maiden outing for Michael Chang was good enough. Chang needs a final-day winner to meet the Jockey Club’s training benchmarks, and this is one of his better chances on the card. #7 Happy Gains has run well in two starts in Class 5, once each for trainers Manfred Man and David Hall. He has his second run for Hall now and he should be primed for a big effort. #10 Furious Pegasus is one of the last chances for veteran handler Gary Ng to get a winner before riding off into the sunset at the end of the season. The five-year-old has shown flashes of form since dropping into Class 5 and it wouldn’t shock to see him in the placings.


#2 Best Tango has been expected to win at numerous times this season but hasn’t been able to finish better than third. He would probably be better suited at Happy Valley for his first attempt at Class 5, but he only carries 125 pounds with Matthew Poon’s claim, so he looks very well placed here. #9 Lightning And Gold is very limited but he showed that he was on the right track last start by staying on for second behind Aeroluminance over this course and distance. He will go forward again and should be around the mark. #3 Je Pense remains one of the bigger surprises among imports into Hong Kong, and it still appears questionable as to why he was brought here. However, he is likely to be a horse who will snare a few wins in Class 5 and it wouldn’t surprise to see him get on the board here. His last effort was good over 2200m, coming from last, and the drop to 1800m can only be a positive. #11 High Speed Metro is an infrequent winner but he can bob up every now and then. He can figure here.


#5 Our Folks has not won since scoring twice in the top half of Class 3 early last year. He is now in the middle of Class 4 and has started to show some form again recently over this course and distance. With Matthew Poon’s seven-pound claim, he now finds himself carrying 120 pounds and from gate two, he should have every chance in the run. He’s a major player. #6 Phantom Falcon was heavily backed at his Hong Kong debut and stuck on well to finish third. He now comes to Sha Tin, but if he can run to that level, he will be around the mark again. #3 Multimax beat D B Pin, a subsequent G3 placegetter, in this very race last season. He is mixing his form but he is always dangerous in this class.#2 Mordicus has largely been a disappointment after looking like a potential Class 2 galloper in his early trials. He did run well two back though and if he can produce that sort of effort, then he is at a handy spot in the ratings.


#7 Spring Win has mixed his form a bit but his turf runs have all been fairly solid without winning. The step up to 1400m looks a positive and he has a better draw than he has had at his last couple of starts. He has a couple of physical issues but if he can put them to one side, he will be going very close here. #2 Noble De Boy doesn’t have much brilliance but he can sustain a run and get himself into the picture. He gets a senior rider on again in Umberto Rispoli, which means he has to carry plenty of weight, but he should be able to figure underneath. #10 The Full Bloom finally broke through down in Class 5 last time out. He is back up in grade but perhaps he just needed to get that win on the board in order for him to begin fulfilling his potential. #1 Association Fans got a late call-up for this after the scratching of Smart Boy. He has only produced one solid run to date but the drop into Class 4 and the switch to Zac Purton may spark him up, as well as the addition of blinkers.


#3 King Of Mongolia has now had three runs for new trainer Richard Gibson, and he did show improvement last time out at his first ever effort in Class 4. The return to Sha Tin is a plus and he gets blinkers on again, so he’s worth watching here. #8 Garlic Yeah has been fairly consistent since winning twice in Class 5 earlier this season, running four times for three placings. He did win over 1800m to kick off his brace of victories, but it has shaped as too short since. Still, he’s worth consideration from a good draw. #5 King Bountiful is stepping out for the 20th time this season, meaning that he has raced at almost 23% of all meetings this season – not a bad effort at all. He rarely puts two good runs together, which is a concern after his last performance caught the eye, and he does have a bad draw. However, Joao Moreira does jump aboard and he’s in contention. #4 Po Ching Treasure took 39 starts to get on the board in Hong Kong, and now he’s managed to win two in a row. Umberto Rispoli seems to have figured out the secret to getting the chestnut to give his all, but he will need to have gone to another level if he is to make it three in a row. Still, he’s a place chance.


#1 Experto Crede has shown at his last two starts that he is ready to break through. He is on the quick back-up for this and he looks a perfect candidate to get a win on the board before season’s end. #7 Jolly Gains stuck on well at his debut effort over 1200m. The son of Savabeel will appreciate further, but the step up to 1400m is in his favour and he can finish around the mark again. #10 Superior Boy has raced well throughout his 18-start Hong Kong career but he just hasn’t been able to get his nose in front at the line. His last effort was good, though, and if trainer Michael Chang hasn’t got his all-important 16th win by this race, he gets a good opportunity here. #11 Autopay’s last two runs suggest that he will be a winner in the coming meetings, either here or early next season. He is worth following, and he must be included here underneath.


#8 Apollo's Choice returns to turf now after his experiment on dirt didn’t produce the expected results. He has produced one win and five placings from eight attempts at the Sha Tin 1400m, never off a mark this low, and Matthew Poon’s seven-pound claim gets him down to 119 pounds. He looks very well-placed and from gate four, he should get every opportunity. #4 Gold Land has not finished closer than seventh in six Hong Kong starts. However, he has slowly been acclimatising and he now looks at a point where he could switch on at any time. He’s worth including in all exotics. #2 Sergeant Titanium spent the early part of the season dropping after winning four races last season to take his rating from 67 to 99. He had a mid-season break, returned a month back, and he is now back into Class 3 on a rating of 80. Joao Moreira jumps aboard now and he could find the winners’ circle again down in grade. #10 Green Energy has been strong to the line in three runs to date. He has not raced since mid-May, but he looks capable of winning off his current mark in quick order.


#3 Booming Delight has been one of this season’s most consistent four-year-olds, with his only poor performance coming in the BMW Hong Kong Derby. He got a first stakes win on the board last time out in the G3 Lion Rock Trophy (1600m) and he still looks well handicapped with only 123 pounds on his back. He will be a force to be reckoned with here. #6 Time Warp has come to life at his last two starts, both at Happy Valley, leading all the way and running good time in doing so – in fact, he clocked both the fastest 1650m and 1800m times at Happy Valley this season at his last two starts, even breaking the 1800m track record by four-tenths of a second two back. He has to bring that form to Sha Tin now but he has only 112 pounds on his back with Alvin Ng’s three-pound claim. Expect him to look the winner at some stage in the straight. #4 Beat The Clock still appears to be improving but the three-year-old has impressed this season, winning four of his eight starts and placing in the other four. He steps up to a mile for the first time, so he will be putting his 2018 Hong Kong Classic Mile credentials on the line here, but he looks to be getting in well and so he must be considered a danger. #5 Supreme Profit only has 108 pounds on his back, so while he looks outclassed, he is another one to watch with no weight.


#12 High And Mighty has not won in nearly three years. However, he has shown signs of recapturing his form at his last two starts, both from bad gates over this course and distance. He has drawn widely again, but this looks the sort of race where he could bob up. He’s worth playing. #11 Calculation has his first Hong Kong start here after four runs in Ireland for John Oxx when named Drake Passage. He has progressed nicely through his trials and while he is unlikely to be wound up for this, he appears to be ready to run well at his Hong Kong debut. #6 World Record has not missed a top-four spot in his last nine runs over this course and distance, including three wins earlier in the season. He might be on his mark now but he has drawn well again, so he must be respected. #2 Chung Wah Spirit still looks a project for next season, but the talent is there to win off his current mark so he cannot be dismissed lightly.


#7 Ivictory looks a horse bound for higher grades, even despite his defeat last time out. He looks to be still learning about the caper and he did go up significantly in the ratings for his win two back. He will have improved again after that effort and he looks one to follow going forward, but he can score another win here at his last run as a three-year-old. #12 All You Need won in very nice style last start, putting behind him a subpar run two back. Sticking to the 1200m seems to be the trick with him, at least at this stage of his career, and he is another to follow, especially while he is still well-handicapped. #9 Travel Datuk is talented but seems to find every excuse in the book in his races. It is going to fall into place one day and he is a horse that must be included in exotics, but on a win line, he is tough to find. For fourth, Starship is logical after the nice turn of acceleration he showed last time out, but instead, it might be worth including #6 Thor The Greatest. He is honest enough when he is allowed to jump and run, and he might get things his way here.


#7 Mongolian King has been honest since his arrival, save for an outing at Happy Valley where he suffered a heart irregularity. He finally snared a victory two back in nice style before running well behind Hang’s Decision last time out. That looks a solid form guide for this, and while he might need a bit of speed on to ensure he can come home over the top, he should be making headway late. He can take the season’s final race. #14 Baba Mama hasn’t been able to progress since reaching Class 2, but he hasn’t run poorly either. He is likely to be around the mark again, and if Lady Luck shines on him, perhaps he could score. #4 Pikachu lines up at the season finale for the third year in a row, having run fifth in the Sha Tin Mile Trophy behind Contentment and Beauty Only in 2015 before a fourth in this race last year. He finds himself on a higher mark after an impressive win at Happy Valley in March, but he is consistent enough and if he’s switched off early by Callan Murray, he’ll be finding the line late. #2 Big Bang Bong has finished second at his last four starts, over a variety of distances and at both courses. He will likely be around the mark again, although he might be worth opposing on a win line.


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