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Sha Tin Selections for 16th September 2018

Selections and Analysis for Sunday’s meeting at Sha Tin.

Sha Tin Selections for 16th September 2018

Selections and Analysis for Sunday’s meeting at Sha Tin.

RACE 1: #5 E Master, #3 Happy Tour, #1 Impeccable Fellow, #10 Manful Star

RACE 2: #5 Dutch Windmill, #9 Top Ace, #3 Glenealy Prize, #2 Gloriam


RACE 3: #5 Penang Hall, #1 Smart Leader, #2 Hang's Decision, #8 Green Card

RACE 4: #13 The Legend, #11 Sea Pearl, #6 Lucky Storm, #3 Laugh Out Loud

RACE 5: #3 Comfort Life, #4 Sun Touch, #7 Invincible Fresh, #2 Keen Venture

RACE 6: #2 Elusive State, #12 Lucky Shiny Day, #10 Care Free Prince, #8 Good Fit

RACE 7: #1 King Of Mongolia, #2 Ho Ho Feel, #5 Bullish Glory, #7 Golden Kid

RACE 8: #3 Cordyceps, #2 So Fast, #10 Sunshine Holiday, #4 Looking Good

RACE 9: #8 Golden Dash, #10 Team Spirit, #4 Taking Aim, #5 Mighty Maverick

RACE 10: #7 Montreal, #9 Mr Lumieres, #2 Wishful Thinker, #6 Shamal

RACE 1: CUCKOO HANDICAP

#5 E Master won on debut in October last year but was just fair in seven subsequent efforts. He runs over 1000m for the first time in this spot for his new handler Caspar Fownes. He hasn’t trialled but fresh in this spot he is capable of scoring. #3 Happy Tour ran well enough on debut. He’s still learning, but he can figure in what appears a fairly weak race. #1 Impeccable Fellow was scratched at the gates at the Season Opening meeting when looking a live player over 1400m. The shorter trip may prove too sharp but he’s not without a hope. #10 Manful Star is next best.

RACE 2: HWAMEI HANDICAP

#5 Dutch Windmill was racing well without winning at the end of last season. He heads to the dirt for the first time in this grade and there is enough to suggest that he should be well-suited in this spot. He’s worth a play. #9 Top Ace has been frustrating throughout his Hong Kong career, showing plenty of good signs at times but never actually breaking through – not great for a horse who arrived with form around the likes of Dylan Mouth, Gailo Chop, Free Port Lux and Western Hymn. Still, he’s at a mark where victory surely is not far away. #3 Glenealy Prize is as one-paced as they come but he looked good in a recent Conghua trial. He deserves respect. #2 Gloriam can improve markedly getting onto this surface.

RACE 3: LARK HANDICAP

#5 Penang Hall spent most of his season aiming towards a return to Class 3. He ran well at his first run back in the grade, but disappointed at his most recent run in July. In this sort of a field fresh, he deserves plenty of attention. #1 Smart Leader ran well enough on debut over the straight 1000m, especially given he’d had a very limited preparation before his first Hong Kong start. The former Scarecrow will take plenty of improvement and he can run to a new level second-up. #2 Hang's Decision swept home from last in a race that suited him pace-wise fresh. He’s capable of winning again, although he might need a few things to fall into place. #8 Green Card is unreliable but he’s going well enough to snare one of these.

RACE 4: MAGPIE HANDICAP

#13 The Legend has disappointed at times in Hong Kong, but he’s getting to a point where he needs to show something soon or he will never win a race. He has next to no weight on his back and he can figure fresh over this trip. #11 Sea Pearl just missed out first-up. The extra 200m should be in his favour and, if he can go on with the job, he will be right around the mark. #6 Lucky Storm raced fresh first-up but still battled away OK. The step back in trip is an interesting move. #3 Laugh Out Loud should have every chance from a good draw.

RACE 5: THE CHINESE RECREATION CLUB CHALLENGE CUP

#3 Comfort Life won impressively two back over this course and distance. He has trialled strongly in preparation for his return and a forward showing can be expected. #4 Sun Touch struck some trouble first-up over 1200m. He steps up to 1400m now, where he boasts two wins and three placings from six starts, and he should be hard to run down. #7 Invincible Fresh has had plenty of issues that have kept him from the winners’ circle for almost three years, but he’s on a rating where he can win. #2 Keen Venture debuts for Me Tsui, having previously won in Class 2 for Almond Lee. A bold effort would not surprise.

RACE 6: SHRIKE HANDICAP

#2 Elusive State steps out for Tony Millard for the first time, having won two of his last three starts in July to end his season strongly. Millard has a good record with new stable acquisitions and Elusive State should get conditions to suit here. #12 Lucky Shiny Day finished second to Elusive State last time out when getting to this course and distance for the first time. He was beaten five and a half lengths on that occasion, but he does now get a weight swing of 14 pounds in his favour. He can turn the tables with luck. #10 Care Free Prince returns to the dirt and can easily win off his current rating. #8 Good Fit is a four-time dirt winner, twice over this distance, and he can capitalise on a good draw.

RACE 7: SUNBIRD HANDICAP

#1 King Of Mongolia returns to Class 4, where he has only raced twice before for one win. He has trialled well and with the blinkers back on, he deserves respect. #2 Ho Ho Feel is another class-dropper. He doesn’t win out of turn but he did score in Class 4 last season and he’s a leading player. #5 Bullish Glory is his own worst enemy but there is a better talent than a 54-rater in there somewhere. It’s just a matter of whether he can produce it. #7 Golden Kid has been very consistent and should run well again.

RACE 8: SWALLOW HANDICAP

#3 Cordyceps shocked by running a big race on debut in June before backing that up with a good win in July, defeating subsequent winner King Opie by a neck. Notably, he recorded one of the fastest last 400m sectionals over the Sha Tin 1200m last season, sitting in a top 10 list that features stakes-level sprinters like Beat The Clock, Mr Stunning, D B Pin and Seasons Bloom. He looks good for another win in Class 4 and he should be right in contention here. #2 So Fast has only raced in Class 4 once, scoring by four lengths on debut in June, 2015. Now that he gets the drop in grade, he could quickly come to hand and he deserves consideration. #10 Sunshine Holiday showed some promise in his first preparation. The booking of Zac Purton is a positive indicator and he must be respected. #4 Looking Good is not without claims.

RACE 9: TAILORBIRD HANDICAP

#8 Golden Dash ran a bold race first-up at a short price, striking the front before Goko charged at him late. Stepping up to 1200m will suit him now and he should be hard to beat. #10 Team Spirit showed plenty of promise in his first three starts, winning easily at his last run in June after having a soft time on the speed. This race is unlikely to set up similarly, but he is progressive and he can take another step forward this term. #4 Taking Aim has shown glimpses of promise at times in Hong Kong. He’s drawn awkwardly but he’s likely to be around the mark. #5 Mighty Maverick has switched to the Caspar Fownes yard and he may still have another win left in him at this mark.

RACE 10: WOODPECKER HANDICAP

#7 Montreal showed plenty of promise pre-import, and he quickly found his feet in Hong Kong by winning at his second outing. However, he was very disappointing at his last run, although there may have been excuses with a number of concerning issues past the post. Still, he pulled up with just a minor cut and he has trialled well leading into this run. He looks to have points in hand and he should be hard to beat. #9 Mr Lumieres bounced back from a poor effort to win at his last run of the season. He tackles Class 2 now, but he should get every chance with claimer Matthew Poon aboard from a favourable draw. #2 Wishful Thinker steps back to 1000m for the first time in Hong Kong. He will likely be run off his feet, but if it does collapse in front, he could run home very strongly. #6 Shamal can’t be dismissed at odds, dropping back to a more suitable 1000m.


HKJC




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