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Timeform Preview – The BMW

Fields, Timeform Tips and odds for BMW thoroughbred horse race at Rosehill, won y Might and Power and Makybe Diva. ATC Derby winner Tavago

Timeform Preview – The BMW

It will be a case of wet trackers to the fore at Rosehill this afternoon which may make the group one BMW over 2400m a tougher staying test than normal.

Tavago in full flight
Tavago in full flight Picture:Racing and Sports

For that reason I am expecting further improvement from 2016 Australian Derby winner Tavago Horseform who returned to winning form last start in impressive fashion taking out the Sky High Stakes at Rosehill over 2000m.

That was his second run from a spell and bounced off a solid first up effort in the Chipping Norton Stakes behind Winx over 1600m.


Tavago created a big impression last Autumn easily winning the Australian Derby after a luckless effort in the New Zealand Derby.

Despite being high in markets for the Spring staying features, Tavago did not regain his best form last season and was spelled after two below par efforts.

However Autumn seems to bring out the best in Tavago and after just two runs he has already regained the same Timeform rating of 118 that he ran to in winning the Derby.

Tavago is a real mudlark who will not be troubled by the conditions or the step up to 2400m.

Victory for Tavago would see him join Eremein (2006) and Octagonal (1997) as the only Australian Derby winners in the last 25 years to return at four and win the BMW.

It is worth remembering that Tavago easily accounted for subsequent Caulfield Cup winner Jameka in the Derby and she again looks one of the main dangers today.

Jameka Horseform also allows a direct comparison with the recent Victorian form lines through the Australian Cup which if holds up here should see Tavago go to a new career peak Timeform rating.

With last start winning rider Blake Shinn staying in the pigskin, Tavago is versatile enough to be handy throughout and take catching.

Narrow Australian Cup winner Humidor who defeated Jameka, brings a peak rating performance to the race this afternoon.

The former kiwi has won five of 14 starts but his record could have been much better except for his wayward behaviour.

Humidor Horseform has now raced five times for the Darren Weir stable and after a few luckless performances posted his first win for his new stable last start in the G1 Australian Cup (2000m).

Humidor’s effort to win that day was better than the bare form suggests as he was one of the few horses to defy the track bias, running on strongly out wide from near last on the home turn.

Humidor was unplaced in the same NZ Derby as Tavago was, some five lengths behind the latter, however he was very immature at that stage and the run is no real indication of his ability to run 2400m.

Weir seems to be curbing Humidor’s manners and his ratings profile suggests he could be better still as those endeavours take hold.

Humidor will have no issues with the ground and rates as a huge danger to Tavago. If successful he will join Preferment (2016), Manighar (2012) and Makybe Diva (2005) as the horses who have completed the Australian Cup – BMW double since 2000.

2016 Caulfield Cup winner Jameka Horseform has been steadily working up to peak form this preparation and after three runs in look set to reach her peak Timeform rating of 121 today.

Jameka was courageous last start in the Australian Cup being run down late by Humidor after appearing to have the race parcelled up after skipping clear inside the 300m mark.

That effort was also better then it appeared as she was trapped deep throughout which undoubtedly contributed to her tiring late.

Jameka handles wet ground and will also be advantaged by her running style which is handy to the pace.

Interestingly the last horse to win a Caulfield Cup and BMW in the same season was another four-year-old mare Ethereal in 2002 and before her the great Might and Power in 1998.

Racing And Sports



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R6 ROSEHILL 25 March 2017
The Bmw 3U , 2400m
Race Synopsis: Jameka is now a three-time Group One winner after previously taking out the 2015 VRC Oaks (Gr 1, 2500m) and 2016 Caulfield Cup (Gr 1, 2400m). Ridden well by Hugh Bowman, she travelled well in second place, many lengths behind the free-running leader (Lasqueti Spirit) before improving well at the 600m. She then dashed to the front at the 300m before racing away to win most impressively. The Australian Cup (Gr 1, 2400m) winner Humidor had a good trip, well back in fifth place, moved up nearing the home turn and went to a distant second at the 300m. He then fought on well to finish second, without looking likely to threaten the winner. Exospheric raced back in fourth place, went to third at the home turn and kept fighting on in the heavy condition to hold that position. Of the others, Who Shot Thebarman kept plugging on well from last in the eight-horse field to finish (9.1 lengths) fourth in a sound Sydney Cup (Gr 1, 3200m) trial while Tavago raced well below his recent form and was near the rear most of the way before finishing distant last.

FP
 
Horse
Age & Sex
Trainer
Jockey
WT
SP
 
1st  
8. JAMEKA (AUS)
5yo Mare
CIARON MAHER
HUGH BOWMAN
56.5
$3.00
 
MYBOYCHARLIE (IRE) - MINE GAME (AUS)
C L Maher, Mrs J M McKenna, D Degenhardt, J Degenhardt, M R Fallon, G M Verdoorn, S Priestley, Mrs S A Cockram, Ms J Nolte, M Mills & Halo Racing Services Pty Ltd (Mgr: C B McKenna)
2nd  
6. HUMIDOR (NZ)
5yo Gelding
DARREN WEIR
DAMIAN LANE
58.5
$3.75
 
TEOFILO (IRE) - ZALIKA (NZ)
Forest Lodge Racing, Jomara Bloodstock Ltd, Steeplechasers Flat Synd, M Krauser, Dr P Goel, Mrs P Adams, B Shannon, T Ginnane, D O'Connor, B Sokolski, Walker Racing, Bloodstock, Royjohn Racing & H Bastone
3rd  
2. EXOSPHERIC (GB)
5yo H
LEE & ANTHONY FREEDMAN
DAMIEN OLIVER
59.0
$8.00
 
BEAT HOLLOW (GB) - BRIGHT AND CLEAR (GB)
 A Kheir, P M Mehrten, J A O'Neill, A M Butler, J Sourasis, A L Kirkwood-Scott, B D Nettlefold, F Palazzo, F Hachem, C Oliver, J & M Kheir Builders(Mgr: Ms M Kheir) & Carty Racing (Mgr: B C Carty)
4th  3. WHO SHOT THEBARMAN (NZ)
9yo Gelding
CHRIS WALLER
TIM CLARK
59.0
$17.00
5th  9. LASQUETI SPIRIT (AUS)
4yo Mare
L W CURTIS
BRENTON AVDULLA
52.0
$17.00
6th  5. LIBRAN (IRE)
6yo Gelding
CHRIS WALLER
GLYN SCHOFIELD
59.0
$31.00
7th  4. GRAND MARSHAL (GB)
7yo Gelding
CHRIS WALLER
JASON COLLETT
59.0
$41.00
8th  7. TAVAGO (NZ)
5yo Gelding
TRENT BUSUTTIN & NATALIE YOUNG
BLAKE SHINN
58.5
$4.50


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