2022 Ruffies &/or Best Bets

Todman

Let's see if there is any interest for 2022

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MR6 Saunter Boy

MR8 Looks Like Elvis BB 

BR6 Pappalino 

BR8 Salateen 

Flemington 8 ..Mystery shot

SR3 McCormack

SR8 East Asia

BR2 Redoute's Image 

AR3 Ourkhani

AR8 Zarace

MR3 Twist of Fate

MR4 In a Twinkling

MR6 Lloyd's Crown

MR8 Oriental Legend

MR9 And Beyond BB ew

 

BB Sunshine Coast 5 Vitae

Roughie Coffs 3 Moskeeta.

Hoping for some ammo for the weekend, GL regardless

A  2nd @$23 $6 also a 3rd @$10...life goes on

Swan Hill:

Roughie - R1 Shadowy Drive
Best Bet - R6 Screwed Down

Eagle Farm race 6 no 14 Esty Feny (raced 3wide last start) has had good support today.

good luck 

BR2 Scallopini

BR3 Balmaurice - a bolter but last start was better than it looked - $71 & $14

BR4 Ashgrove

BR5 Shaquero

BR6 Ballistic Boy - $71 & $15 - he is better than those odds

BR7 Brereton - he may just be the best horse in race

BR8 Rothfire - sticking with him - hope he doesn't spend too much gas from wide alley

BR9 - another bolter but she has been ultra consistent before this prep, and her last start is a forget run - $101 & $19

MR4 Blazerro - $19 & $4 - looks a great chance EW - at these odds he is my best for day

MR8 Prince of Helena 

 

 

BR1 Calgary Stampede with a saver on Floral Oasis

BB  Ballarat 3 Slipslopslap and in 8 Star of Manhattan.

Roughnutt  Thangool 5 Craiglea Agena, not a real roughie @ about $10 but not too shabby if it salutes...good luck to all that are having a try today.

So hard to carry a roughie over the finish line, In'it? The reason I salute anyone who tips a large priced winner.

Correction - Young Cliffy was towoomba race 7 no 5. so only one cigar for Oldman today. 

2 winners from Oldman today 

Young Cliffy and Most Dazzling

well done.

I'll try my hand at this:

Best Best:

Toowoomba R1 - 2 Most Dazzling

Roughie:

Morph R7 No 5 Platform

MR6 Duke of Plumpton

SR2 King's Trust

SR7 Zing

BR9 Teranga

BB Ipswich 6 Reliae ruby

Roughie Port M 6 Mr. Pointer

Ok Todman, it wasn't my tip, I usually dont tip anything under$3....I thought you were referring    Like a Kiss. Apologies.

Justask, you can bank on the fact that I never criticize any tips other than my own

Hi Justask,

Tod's comments referred to his own tip - Tavistock Dancer.

Cheers..

Retired you say, he you

U say? Shes a 3yr filly having her 2nd start...wake up. She will be winning when she's a better price, you can take that to the bank

well he finished a half furlong away in last place so he needs to be retired 

I just watched the 1st at doomben, J.Loyd on the $1:65 favourite runs some 10:5 early sections, no need to tell you where it finished, either he or the trainer too should be keel hauled. It's talking through my picket cos I usually only lay horses at that price....but to see them riding such a race and the stewards don't give a rats.

$91

he is now out to $941 & $17, so maybe not today, but......

MR3 Tavistock Dancer - $67 & $15 - this lightly raced 6 yr old, has obviously had issues given his long lay offs - his 1st up run this prep was just ok, but the barrier, distance and soft track should suit 

only a few minutes till they jump, but I reckon The Chosen One for a place in the Doomben Cup is good value

Nice EW Todman.

MR4 Canbya $15 & $4.60 - price seems overs

MR5 Treporti $23 & $5 - another over the odds

MR6 El Gladiador $21 & $5 -  looks to be a dry tracker and has been gelded - NZ form on dry is sound

MR9 Sam's Image - $16 & $4.80 occasionally goes well 1st up and at best, he would win this

AR9 Ironclad $$41 & $9.50 - if they are running on from the back today, he can figure

Best Bet: Port Mac R7 #2 Whatever I say

Roughnutt: Goulburn R6 #16 Eve n Ruby

Bendigo R1 H12 Tapo trialled well behind a fairly good one.  First starter $31

 

 

A few long-shots, mainly around forgiving a poor last start.

Bendigo

R5H3 Real Gun

R8H12 Jennevee

Strathalbyn

R4H10 Rouge Renarde

R5H7 Wonaeamirri

Also R5H4 One more Grandy, but that’s only $6 so not a long-shot

Redoute’s image a great result Todman!
 

One More Grandy  scratched today and is going around tomorrow at Strathalbyn.  Only $6.50 in that race but I’ll probably have a go at that.

 

BR1 Le Palmier $18 & $4.40 - better track and good draw 

SR5 Redoute's Image

SR7 True Detective - a 1st up specialist & loves heavy - good value at $18 & $3.80

MR4 Florent $34 & $8

MR5 Petruchio $46 & $10 - goes ok 1st up and at a mile he will be steaming home - my best ruffie

MR7 Sound of Cannons - $23 & $5 - quick backup was hopefully the plan - back to form he started to show 12 months ago 

MR9 Fine Dane $26 & $6 - unbelievable price

AR4 Maritana - $14 & $4.20 - trusting his last run was just a blip hence quick back up

BB Scone 8 Never talk..has alot going got it for mine, run on track hopefully.

Rough utt Melb 8 Mystery shot, not much form from the majority of runners, optimistic this one shines today.

brissy race 2 he's got the power

flemo race 5 hype, with coolth quinella

ad r2 tripadr8 yaphet

sydo r4 sweet mercy

sydo r6 coco rox

happy punting

I reckon there are a few classy steeds in the 10000, and at WFA, it's unlikely that a ruffie will place BUT

Alpine Edge at $81 & $18 will run a good race and he is unbeaten on track - with a few real speedsters in the race, he has enough early pace to hopefully take a position 2 out and not have to race wide although getting back off of a hot speed may suit - I expect he will run a nice 4th or 5th

Saturday Morphetville R1 One more Grandy.  I got $34 with odds boost. Only had one start won nicely hands and heels.  Hoping it can go to next level. Barrier 3

BB  sandown 4 Super thief

Roughnutt  Sandown 6 Manasa

a few more for Sandown

MR2 Verbano - BB ew

MR6 Manaso

MR8 Akecheta - the fave may be too good, but he will probably lead and may be hard to run down

 

today MR2 Frankenstar - the $51 & $10 odds appear juicy - he will improve big time off of his tough last start run especially if he gets the cushy run his barrier promises

BB Goulburn 6 Reoffender, only negative us Kathy Ohara. 

Roughnutt Sale 5 Hazard Ahead..stuck on well last start after going too fast upfront, longer distance should suit.

Sorry guys, no more shorties as a BB.

BB Ballarat 5 Jack of it  heavy track to suit and the 1600 seems ideal to me, although I don't usually like to tip em that short

Roughnutt Mudgee 7 Dulcima  ran a really nice 2nd in a trial behind a the handy The Bopper, hasn't won first up but has won on a heavy so worth a throw at the stumps.

Well done again JustAsk!  I followed your lead on Solar Apex.  Merci beaucoup:)

Kubrick  ffs...can't take a trick

I'm all over the place...meant to put in polly  grey at the GC and Hubeick at rocky...apologies

Nice Justask :)

Sorry about that, also not a big roughie but I did take $9 earlier

Gosford R5H9 Fantastic Baby at $19 

I noticed JustAsk's suggestion is actually R6 Gosford

MR3 Belsielle - I am betting that the blinkers will see her back to her best

A couple from me (crossing fingers):

Rockhampton - R8 N. 8 (Waterhouse and Bott with Van Overmeire on board) - a $440,000 WFA race with a few instate runners including from the stables of Waller, Ben Hayes, Kris Lees and Neasham.

Gold Coast R3 Gold Cup - No 1 - a Camelot NZ Horse with a proven record

BB Rocky 8 Pollt grey

Roughnutt at Q Gosford 5 Solar apex

having little bet on Bendigo R5 H2 Kootara - $17 seems generous

4 for Sandown

MR3 Comic Set - back 300m looks a hurdle, but has run very well over shorter trips

MR5 Morning Melody - I think she will hit the lead in straight, but may be looking for some oxygen on line

MR8 Justacanta - a well performed horse at higher levels - if you forgive its last run, she just about wins this on form - my best ruffie

MR9 Kinane - has been a disappointment in last few preps - 1st up run suggests he is ba-ack - if so, he wins this easy

SR4 Get the Idea - my EW BB

SR10 Hasstobegood

AR7 Morrissette - a big ruffie but she ran a fair race, as a maiden, in the VRC Oaks in the spring - last start, 2nd up, was a good effort - if this race was a target, a big improvement is on the cards

nearly start time

SR1 Cadetship

eagle farm r6 loch lomond, hates heavy tracks

eagle farm r7 dark destroyer, i tipped this horse last time, is a gr2 winning gelding from NZ at this distance. $1 running double might get ya a good divvy

cheers and good punting to all.

All good mate

Oops.  When I looked I saw “1 Crimson Rock” didn’t realise that was horse number not finish position as it was called off.

My bad - I wasn’t taking the piss

Ummm crimson rocks race was abandoned. 

No not at all, you are in great form. Crimson a winner and a fourth at the odds means your judgement was good, a bit more luck and it’s a placing, maybe even a win

 

Sounds like  you're having a dig trimester?

Great tipping again Juskask! 

BB WYONG 8 Crimson Rock, hoping this can lead and hang on.

Roughnutt Wyong 4 Diamond drummer, another hoping it gets the lead.

I think there are some good "horse brains" in here.  I'd enjoy hearing why you like a particular horse.  Sometimes I can see it, sometimes not.  Hopefully I've conveyed my thinking on the couple I like - who will both likely compound at the 1100m mark :-)

Also tryng to talk myself into Sat AR4 H7 Libiamo.  Expect it will appreciate the step up in distance based on last start video and breeding.  Tough barrier from the 1400 start. 

Hoping for better odds - Racing and Sports comment is: "Will jump at pretty long odds and deservedly so" 

One for Saturday Sandown I like at the odds R5 H8 California Surreal at $17.  Just need to forget last start on the bog and it looks fairly good.  1300 at Sandown ought to suit - Mum was a 1400m horse.  Good barrier -3.  

BB Sydney 6 Go Troppo

Roughnutt Sale 4 Wine I Am

BBS

Mildura 2 Starsella

Nowra 4 Cottonfields

I agree with  oldman…”been there done that”…a good roughie is just around the corner…cheers Todman.

I don't agree Todman, everyone has a bad patch.

yep, it's time I retired as my tipping has been crapola for donks

And nice effort JustAsk with Carinal Gem!

Oops - tried to use smiley emoji and it came out with ?????? instead

Thanks guys.  This thread is on a really good run ????????

$16 winner :)

 

This ruffies thread is rocking!

goodonya tmeister65

MR4H5 Tonne of Grit

BB Beaudesert 4 Weneiri

Roughnutt flemington 6 Cardinal Gem

bets not bests

Gary, at those prices, Justask only has to win one in five bests to be ahead. looking at the winners, Justask is way ahead at this stage.

 

You may very well be right Gary.

BB Port M 5 Whatyoulookingat

Roughnutt Ballarat 6 Vivacious Award

You may well be right Gary

BB Port M 5 Whatyoulokkingat

Roughnutt Ballarat  6 Vivacious Award 

Justask, yesterday (Friday) you tipped Werribee R7 #4 Kasami to win, paying $20.

Well done. Can't keep this up, surely! 

 

 

MR6 New York Hurricane

MR7 Hightail

MR9 Not An Option 

MR1 Beaufort Park

AR8 Magic Max

BB Adelaide 5...Tommy blue

Roughnutt Sydney 7 Duchess

Well done Justask.  Nice price too :)

 

 

Woop woop..lol

BB..Werribee 5 we gotten today son

Roughnutt..Werribee 7 Kasami

Ipswich 9  Biggie

Looks like it was one of those bad days at the office?

I had Easter family duties, no time to look at the form today.

I'll look at them on the weekend again, most runners during the week seem to me, to run in slow motion.

Note to justask...never ever tip or back one of snowdens runners...useless as.

Hoping to finish the weekend with a couple Bangs!!

BB Sydney Satin ribbons

Roughnutt Townsville 6 Hallside hot stuff.

Yeh that protest looked 5s on to me, hard to guess what most stewards are thinking...anyway onwards n upwards!

Another 2nd

Hard luck!

I really thought the objection would get up.

The winner was running around like a drunken sailor. perhaps yours will get the objection??

 

Three and four wide all the way. Nice one all the same.

you da man, Justask - keep 'em comin'

BB..Mornington 4 Red on Red

Penola 4 Maatsuyker

Roughnutt...Mornington 1 Clydebank Robber..GL all.

C mon let's keep em comin fellas!  Haha

Two thirds and a winner in Syd10 at $19! Nice tipping again, JustAsk!

WD Oldman, ....nice to help if at all possible

Cheers t65, ...was a nice end to the day, hopefully a couple more Sunday and monday

Justask,

 

Lovely tipping. I included Much Much Better in my running double and it paid handsomely, $158.

Thank you muchly. I would never have looked at him if I hadn't seen you tips.

 

Juskask - great effort with Much Much Better.  Backed it, wouldnt have looked at it without your mention!

SR5 Cap Estel

SR7 Marroni

SR9 Mali Ston/Art Cadeau

SR10 Exotic Ruby

Br4 no7 mikki rose

br7 no3 dark destroyer

i hate caulfield but r9 no7 bundle of fun.

oakbank r5 black sail

good luck, and happy punting

 

BB...Brisbane 5  Bullfinch

Roughnutt...Sydney 10 Much much better

Melb 3 witchachar star

just a suggestion Justask - listing the race no etc for your tips will aid as your selections may not be well known horses and it will stop me from making an ass of myselfsad

All good...2 from 2 next weekend hopefully

my bad - I vaguely remembered your 2nd tip and thought that the winner of R7 last Doomben, was your tip

Coco rox only

good grief Justask - 2 out of 2 winners - one at 50/1 - huge effort

Two late ones to get out on.

MR 8 H 10 Beltoro EW

MR 9 H 1 Aussie Nugget also EW.

All up win and place on. Cheers, The Pig.

BB..Coco rox

Roughnutt...Siennas choice

well let's see if I can do better than last week

Absolute ruffie MR7 Her Empire

MR8 Barade

AR7 Morrissette

BR9 Zipping Boy

SR1 Highland Harley

SR2 Short Shorts

SR3 Sally Pops - my best ruffie

another absolute ruffie SR4 Gendarmerie

SR5 Biscayne Bay

SR7 Stockman BB

 

 

SR1 Voldemort

SR3 Honeycreeper

SR4 Surprise Baby - EW special

SR5 Far Too Easy - BB

SR9 Bankers Choice - very keen on it EW

SR10 Mallory

BR5 Prairie Fire - great value at $51 & $12

AR6 Rizski 

AR9 Fulton Street

MR6 Duke of Bedford

two for today

MR4 Ginger Jones

MR5 Constantinople - his form seems to have improved with this stable - probably a run early, but he has a handy weight 

A few more crumbs as previous post for early birds and I'm on.

SR 2 H 16 Matcha Latte goog EW chance but should place.

SR 3 H 2 Spirit Ridge also a good EW play.

SR 4 H 14 should place at good odds.

SR 7 H 7 Sheraz could place and H 3 The Chosen One could win if it handles the track. Nice run over 2000m in the Bonecrusher at Ellerslie recently when it just kept coming. ? trained for a longer distance.

SR 8 H 11 Stray specked overnight, but I just watched race 1 and will they get R4 in ? BOG. Cheers, The Pig.

Early thought. SR 1 Margee Bee should win. H 17 Defeat could place att odds, Cheers.

good tipping, again, pig - you are running hot 

 

Great start Pig

MR3 - Miss Five Hundred

Slipper- Lady Laguna e/w & Rise of the Masses e/w

Pig,

Don't leave out SR3 No. 13. Been gelded and a pretty good record. Waller must be looking for something special with him.

Darn,should have gone harder. I hope some of you got on. Pigs rule !

SR 1 H 16 ACHIRA should be an EW chance.

SR 2 MAZU and Omni Man quinella chance.

H5 Zeyrek and h2 Knights Order in SR 3

SR4 Le Lude to win and H8 Fill of Fun a roughie with a good EW chance.

SR 9 Belluci Babe on its last run should give a great sight.

I'm hopiny that the track dries a little as the day wears on. Good luck all, The Pig.

Well done Pig

Thanks Tod. Stick with the others as lately i'm having a ball. Been making wages lately and I don't work cheap. Cheers, The Pig.

Good tip, Pig - I followed her throughout the spring but hopped off on Saturday

Bewdy. 800 big ones plus 20% of the F4.

Who wants to make money today?

A few, mainly place and exotics.

MR 3 H 7 Glistening. Been scratched a lot lately and i'm going EW.

MR 6 H 17 Finance Tycoon could place at hugh odds.

MR 9 H8 Gone bye EW and poetic Charmer and Corona Lad are good place chances. Good luck all, The Pig.

gosford race 7 no 15 sebrenco

I found amfew today for all types of betsSR4 H3 Knights Orders a place.

SR9 H6 Strays and Le Lude could be expected to place.

MR3 H 11 The Siscos Kid EW.

MR 7 H13 Prix De Turn EW or place.

MR 8 H 11 ALL BANTER. A fast horse over a fresh win in town (Adelaide ) and D. Jolly doesn't do that to waste money.

Cheers all, The Pig.

Yep, sucked in. Has a good (not sensational) finish, may be time to use different tactics, they can't all be Winx winning from too far back.

Might be getting sucked in again, but at $11 should be a good e/w chance in this field on Tuesday.

Goulburn R7 - Lord Desanimaux

Tod, just backed She's Attractable. I agree with your summation of Moods, and note his association with J. Kah and Blaike Mc Dougall also. I fugure the stable will plunder a few riches thru the year. Good luck, The Pig.

SR8 Real speccy but the Edward Cummings filly I'm Divine led from barrier to box on debut and gapped them with ease, hoop didn't budge in the straight. Since beat Trekking in a trial. Its a long way from a Hawkesbury Maiden to a G1 so thrown in the deep end here but they must think something of her.

MR7 Same might be said for Hafey in the BD, put them away easily in a small field on debut and Williams sticks interestingly. This is no standout year for Melbourne 2YO's so far and nothing would surprise from this stable.

MR8 Been a while between drinks but hope to see Away Game finally get a LH victory here. Deserves this, so honest her whole career and meets the fav 6.5kg better for 0.8L defeat last time out.

MR7 Walk On By - should get cover today and she was strong on the line last start, where she was exposed for entire race - $19 & $5

MR8 Oxley Road - Moods really expected him to win 1st up and he was "filthy" with the extreme track bias - I am hoping he gets cover one back $13 & $3.60

good punting

Tod

Sorry folks. I backed Daksha but forgot to post it until the race was over. 50 a place @ 7.50.  Damn time passes quicker on a Sat. Call it Pigs Law. I'll do my best next week.

SR 5 Hs 8, 1. 3. 5, 13, 14. should get the exotics with  # 5 and # 14 two of my best roughies Cheers, The Pig.

MR3 Modern Millie

MR4 Lambda

MR5 Throntari

MR8 King Magnus

MR9 Jumbo Ozaki

looking to get at least a winner and a few placegetters 

Mumbai Jewell SR 1 H 10 EW. The Pig.

You may get on Mumbai Jewel in SR 1 H10 Go EW , The Pig.

Cheers Tod. and Ramses. For once I didn't miss one. Got myself out of trouble but wish I hadn't trimmed my bet. I'll try to find a few more this Autumn. The Pig.

SR2 - Lord Desanimaux ... hopefully not as far back as last run, should be running on late. Hasn't won on soft but placed 7/14. Backed e/w at $6/2.25

MR2 - Spirit of Gaylard .. $7.50

MR4 - Seiryu.. $11

MR8 - Sierra Sue ..$12

SR6 - Chat ..$25

Good luck to all

Cheers Todman. Yeah you were unlucky there

nice win there, Ramses 

my tip had awful luck in straight and may have scored with an uninterrupted run

only 1 for today

MR9 Pale King - $14 & $3.50 - I am pretty keen on him - looked the goods in his 1st prep in Aust but has failed in 2 preps since. His 1st up record is 3 from 4, but even when beaten 1st up last prep, he had excuses but 1st up over 1600m, looks the right distance and I have labelled him a BB

Well done last week Pig

MR8 - Mr Yu Shu

MR3 - Miss Five Hundred

MR9 - Heavenly Emperor

good grief pig, you've kicked off the new year with a good 'un

Should read SR 10 in last post,Sorry. H 14 correct.

Hi folks,happy new year to all, and good punting in 2022. Just a couple for place bets or exotics today.

SR 1 H5 may get 5 0r 6 the place.

 

SR5 H15 Freestyle strong betting last night. Watch 4 and12 for multis.

 

rR8 H6 Waiwere Falls may run well, and R8 H 14 should win.   Good luck all. Cheers, The Pig.

Getting in early with this selection, and hoping for a rain affected track at MV on Saturday. The current $31 & $8 price is less than I hoped and of course a bad barrier will impact his chances greatly. If the gods smile and the track is a slow 6 or worse and he gets a low barrier draw, then he will be a huge EW chance. At current odds though, betting early before acceptances, would be foolish. Olly is the usual rider, so his engagement would strengthen his chances. He is working particularly well, but coming off a below par prep last time in, there has to be some doubt re him returning to his best - last autumn, he was in good form.

Order of Command

 

 

MR7 - Musswellbrook @$17

MR5 - Mister Yu Shu @$16

MR3 - Guns Ablazing @$13

 

well here goes for 2022

MR5 Morrissy - way down in class off its 2nd up run - has never performed 2nd up - blinkers are back on - ran a close 4th in the Standish this time last year - my BB at $9

MR6 Legionnaire - $51 & $12 - last start was just a pass - has only won 1 race out of 23, but does go ok at this track - shorter distance and lower grade are the key

MR8 Laundy - hopefully he gets an easier run than last start - down in class $16 & $4.80

 

Thursday 6/01/22

Pinjarra Race 5 no 6 Northeast Eagle  just to get the ball rolling in 2022. Should appreciate the step up from 1300m to 2000m, Pike L.Smith.

 

good luck  

 

 

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