THE GOOD OIL


Front Page Special For Saturday 17 November 2018


Sandown Race 8 - 4 The Taj Mahal  - On this day last year we really liked this European traveller and twelve months on we are as keen on his chances in the Zipping Classic.

The stable targets this race every year - including winning it four times in a row with their grand galloper whose name now adorns the race.

Off a different campaign in 2018, The Taj Mahal was very tough in the JRA Cup then made a long run from the 800m in the Caulfield Cup and only weakened the last 100m.

This contest shapes up in another manner altogether and Ben Melham, who led most of the way on him in 2017, looks to gain control in this.

As essentially the only WFA standard horse in this, he is fantastic odds around the 3-1 mark. We'll build our own monument to him in our Seven Wonders Of The Punting World when he wins.


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5 State Plays

Mail Around Australia

Find below the best betting plays of the weekend from around the country. A more expansive explanation can be found in the Read More Links in each State's assessments.


SYDNEY SPECIALS

Rosehill profiles as something of a trap meeting on Saturday where looking for value shapes as the way to go. Read More

EACH WAY PLAY (1): Race 5 - 6 Firsthand  @ $6.00
EACH WAY PLAY (2): Race 8 - 4 Deft  @ $7.00

For all your Sydney form, stats, neurals and state of track Click Here


Holy Snow is some value at Sandown
MELBOURNE MAIL

The Cup Carnival is over but the spring is far from finished with Sandown always a great meetings for punters. Read More

BET OF THE DAY: Race 8 - 4
The Taj Mahal  @ $4.00

EACH WAY PLAY: Race 6 - 4
Holy Snow  @ $10.00


For all your Melbourne form, stats, neurals and state of track Click Here


BRISBANE BEST

Smart sprinter Tyzone can add to his good fresh record when he makes his return to the track at Doomben on Saturday. Read More

BET OF THE DAY: Race 8 - 3 Tyzone  @ $4.20
EACH WAY PLAY: Race 9 - 8 Trois Choix  @ $8.50

For all your Brisbane form, stats, neurals and state of track Click Here


SAY FROM SA

Summer racing begins to kick into effect now with some lead ups to the features around Christmas time. Read More
Over And Above can win in Adelaide

BET OF THE DAY (1): Race 4 - 3
Diamond Tycoon  @ $2.50

BET OF THE DAY (2): Race 8 - 10
Over And Above  @ $2.70


For all your Adelaide form, stats, neurals and state of track Click Here


BEST FROM THE WEST

The Jim Taylor trained Spillinova really caught the eye first up and appears well placed to break through in the sixth event at Ascot on Saturday. Read More

BET OF THE DAY (1): Race 6 - 3 Spillinova  @ $3.50
BET OF THE DAY (2): Race 7 - 2 Action  @ $2.25

For all your Perth form, stats, neurals and state of track Click Here


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All your Korean form and news

Busan Racecourse

Anyone having a bet on Korean races?

Racing and Sports has all the form covered from around the world.

FULL MEDIA INFORMATION FOR KOREA AVAILABLE HERE

Busan Race Analysis 16 November

Busan Media Selections 16 November

Seoul Race Analysis 17 November

Seoul Media Selections 17 November

THE KOREAN PREVIEW

Francois Herholdt will take his first mounts in Korean racing on Friday's card at Busan.

The South African jockey begins an initial four-month license with three rides across the eleven-race meeting on the South Coast.

The globe-trotting rider has ridden in several countries amassing over 1000 winners in a career which began as an apprentice in Durban in 1989 and has taken in spells in Singapore, Dubai, Mauritius, France and Saudi Arabia as well as his native South Africa.

Herholdt has ridden six Group winners in South Africa as well as notching up several more in neighboring Zimbabwe and was Champion Jockey in Mauritius in 2004.

Earlier this year, the 44-year-old travelled to Ng'ong Racecourse in Nairobi to win the Kenya Derby on Freewheeler. Herholdt is well prepared for the challenges of making it in a new country and is finding his feet having arrived in Busan earlier this month.

Read the full story here

Click here for ALL YOUR FRIDAY KOREAN FORM


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Chris Scholtz - Early Thoughts

R&S Contributing Editor Chris Scholtz takes a look at tomorrow's Sydney racing.

SELECTIONS

Rosehill Race 4 - 9 Naval Warfare 

He's mixed his form for a while now but there were positive signs in his last start third over this same course and distance on November 3 when he ran home hard from a clear last behind Red Excitement and Mask Of Time to be beaten less than a length.

Meets Red Excitement 2kg better and with only 52kg to carry should be a serious threat in this similar field, noting his preference for firm ground and solid form on his home track.

Rosehill Race 5 - 6 Firsthand 

He's performed nicely in two well-spaced runs since resuming and is nicely placed for his first 1400m start of his current prep in a race where there pressure should be on from the start.

Firsthand
Found the line late last time out over 1200m on a soft Randwick surface and while this field is stronger he drops 4kg and will appreciate the firmer conditions on his home track. If the field numbers hold up he's a sound each-way play.

Rosehill Race 8 - 4 Deft 

Progressive Godolphin mare added to her growing record with a strong first-up win over 1100m at Canterbury and is well placed to take another forward step with the benefit of that run over this extra trip.

She's missed a place only once in her seven career starts and while she meets some handy types in Seasons and Ready To Prophet she has the fitness edge on them from her recent win. Should settle on the back of the speed and have the last crack at them.

BLACKBOOK UPDATE from 10 November (Horses to follow at their next three starts)

Etymology - You could not miss his late finish.
Secret Vega - Hard to beat in right class.
So Si Bon - One day it will all go right for him.
Sir Isaac Newton - Not Group One but he can stay.
In Her Time - Maybe she wins with a clear go when it was needed.
Shillelagh - No luck but showed she can get a strong 2000m.
Ombudsman - Nice resuming effort from good staying type.
Montrachet - Should benefit from solid first-up third.

Recent Blackbook winners - Chapter And Verse; Bleu Roche; Shillelagh; Newsfan; Royal Celebration; Verry Elleegant; Ranier; Street Tough; Savacool; Ringerdingding; Sesar; Tamasa; Diplomatico.

ELIGIBLE BLACKBOOK RUNNERS for 16/17 November

Moonee Valley (Fri) - Tezlah (R7) and Freehearted (R8)
Rosehill (Sat) - Firsthand (R5)
Sandown (Sat) - Wall Of Fire (R2), Eawase (R3), Aristocratic Miss (R3), Black On Gold (R4), Rich Charm (R5), Secret Blaze (R7), Zoutori (R7), Sir Isaac Newton (R8), Bons Away (R9), Invincible Al (R9), Our Crown Mistress (R10) and Snogging (R10)

TRIAL WATCH HORSES

Canterbury (Fri) - Boudicea Belle (R3) and Sixes (R3)

Boudicea Belle (Rosehill 2 November) - Placed once from two starts last season and looks to have come on well with a Kembla Grange trial win preceding this smart effort to win the maiden heat over 1030m (1.02.45; 36.30). Patiently ridden to sit second two lengths off the leader before quickly taking command at the 250m when full of running. Soft win flattered chasers as she was eased down late.

Rosehill (Sat) - Chess Star (R1), Our Century (R4), My Nordic Hero (R5), Gibraltar Girl (R7), Seasons (R8), Ready To Prophet (R8) and Catesby (R9)

Seasons (Randwick 30 October) - Talented mare is in for a good campaign after her sharp second in her 1045m heat when she cruised through her gears making ground off without being put under pressure. She's only had four starts and has a very bright future. Followed up with another strong trial third at Canterbury on November 13.
Ready To Prophet (Rosehill 2 November) - Sharp 3YO filly by Smart Missile set to add to her record of one win from three starts last season. Cruised in the lead at her own tempo, sprinted off turn and had plenty in the tank running out a clear 2.3 lengths winner in the fastest of the three 1030m heats (1.02.34/34.60). Hard to beat fresh.

Kembla (Sat) - Brazenpine (R1), Perigord (R3) and Brigid Of Kildare (R6)

Scone (Mon) - Hard Reality (R1), Defeat (R2) and Stella Sea Sun (R2)

Chris' final observations and full audio preview of all Sydney races will be available after 9.30am Saturday on the R&S website and tweeted by @ScholtzRacing.


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Singapore Racing Tips

Elite Invincible

Check out all the tips and form plus Previews and Reviews for Kranji this weekend

Find below the links for all the information on the Singapore meetings.

Full Singapore Tips - Friday 16 November

Click here for ALL YOUR FRIDAY SINGAPORE FORM

Full Singapore Tips - Friday 18 November

Click here for ALL YOUR SUNDAY SINGAPORE FORM

FULL MEDIA SELECTIONS AVAILABLE HERE

Singapore Media Tips Friday

SINGAPORE REVIEWS

Singapore Derby placegetter Elite Invincible reigned supreme in the Gold Cup on Sunday, aided by a masterful ride from Benny Woodworth.

Lining up from the widest draw, Woodworth made his intentions clear early, when springing the gates to take up the lead.

Finding the fence just past the winning post (for the first time), Elite Invincible  eased back to settle third with the Michael Clements trained McGregor pressing on.

Enjoying a lovely run in transit, Elite Invincible travelled well into the straight and with McGregor swinging wide on the home turn, Elite Invincible enjoyed the saloon passage up the fence.

Hitting the front shortly after, Elite Invincible kicked clear with class galloper Circuit Land stalking him throughout.

Easing off his heels inside the 200m, Circuit Land loomed up to challenge, however Elite Invincible was too strong, scoring narrowly on the line.

Click here for the full Review of last weekend's races

Click here for the full Singapore News


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The Stats Report with Simon Dinopoulos

Tim Clark is in great form

ZEROING IN

We go about finding a weekend special from a statistical angle.

Rosehill Race 8 - 5 Seasons 

Very promising mare from the Les Bridge stable who has created quite the impression in four starts to this point.

Arguably should have been unbeaten last preparation, after she had no luck first up at Canterbury.

Went to the paddock off a new career peak and has trialled very well in the lead up, most recently at Canterbury on Tuesday.

Ridden cold, Clark barely breathed on her and she found the line nicely only to beaten 0.6L.

She looks airborne and has drawn to get into a lovely stalking position, with decent speed anticipated.

May need a touch of luck getting off the fence, but trust Clark to give her every chance and she should prove very hard to beat.

Key Trends

  • In fine form, Tim Clark is striking at 26% from his last 50 runners.

  • Seasons is unbeaten in two attempts over this trip and Clark is running at a POT of 29.5% at Rosehill this season.

  • A punter's pal, this season Clark is striking at 18% and is running at a POT of +41.5%.
  • Simon Dinopoulos' Three Tips for Sky Sports Radio

  • Race 3 - No 10 - Yousay Bolt

  • Race 5 - No 8 - Passage Of Time

  • Race 8 - No 5 - Seasons


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    Timeform Review: Melbourne Cup week with Adam Blencowe

    Santa Ana Lane was the best all week

    Santa presented the best

    Another Melbourne Cup Carnival is in the books. 507 runners (up 20 from last year) posted a median level of performance of 96.25 on Timeform's scale - slightly up on both recent averages and last year's median performance value of 95.

    That slight bounce in quality came on the back of more depth at the top end. 31 horses ran to a rating of 115 or higher in 2018 after just 24 could achieve as much in a 2017 carnival that was below recent averages on that score.

    Seven horses ran to 120 or above which was identical to 2017 and the highest rating of the week also mirrored last year, the Sprint Classic winner Santa Ana Lane producing the best performance across the four days rated 126.

    A rating of 126 marks Santa Ana Lane as the equal of Redzel and Trapeze Artist at the top of the Australian sprinting ranks at present.

    The common view seems to be that the Australian sprinting ranks are lacking for real star power at the moment and this assessment falls into line with that to an extent.

    Three tied at the top (Pierata sits just a pound away at 125) says things are very even at present but the VRC Sprint Classic still took more winning than any other race across the biggest week of the year - even, yes but weak, no.

    Click here for the full Cup week Timeform Review


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    Historical Analysis of the Zipping Classic

    Americain won this as well

    ZIPPING CLASSIC - G2 2400m

    While seen as somewhat of a consolation prize, the Zipping (Sandown) Classic does offer excellent prize money.

    At G2 level, it caters for many horses just below the Melbourne Cup, although some do back up.

    Zipping did an amazing job winning FOUR straight runnings. Take a look at the last few Classic winners.

    PROFILING THE RACE

    o The old Sandown classic is a very good race for the favoured runners.

    o Run at Caulfield in 2013.

    o While some have come from wide barriers, it never hurts to draw inside in a staying race.

    o Winners haven't had to be dour stayers to win this. 2000m horses have been able to get a cushy run and win this.

    o 6 of the last 10 winners have run in the Melbourne Cup.

    o Last 10 Winners Most Prevalent Age of winner - All ages from 3 to 9.

    o Last 10 Winners Average Price of winner - $3.90

    o Breakdown of winners - 6 geldings, 1 colt, 2 entires & 1 mare.

    o Races that the winner ran in prior - Melbourne Cup (6), Cox Plate (1), Queen Elizabeth Stks (2), Mackinnon Stks (1).

    The Classic becomes The Zipping

    Remember the grand warrior
    who won this race four times in a row

    RECENT WINNERS

    The Taj Mahal was at his best
    2017 - THE TAJ MAHAL  3c (Galileo x You'resothrilling) ($5)
    Jockey: Ben Melham, Trainer: Robert Hickmott
    Barrier: 5, Weight: 56.5kg, Gross Time: 2:30.09
    Margin: 3.5L, Track: Good (4), Starters: 8
    2nd: Almandin (59.0kg), 3rd: Big Duke (59.0kg)

    Review: Lloyd Williams loves this race. He was loving it before it was renamed the Zipping Classic but even more so now. And this season of using these European three year olds just kept on getting better.

    Rekindling won the Melbourne Cup and now this colt with top G1 Euro form won at WFA. Even being nipped shortly out of the gates three times by a rival didn't harm him. This was a brilliant ride from Ben Melham. With a lure in front of him, he didn't care it was there.

    He took off at the 1000m mark and made the main dangers stay, coming back off their Cup runs. They did look dour and his turn of foot backing up from the Mackinnon was outstanding. It was too easy.

    Beautiful Romance winning
    2016 - BEAUTIFUL ROMANCE  4m (New Approach x Mazuna) ($5)
    Jockey: Glyn Schofield, Trainer: Saeed Bin Suroor
    Barrier: 5, Weight: 57.0kg, Gross Time: 2:29.05
    Margin: 0.1L, Track: Good (3), Starters: 8
    2nd: Almoonqith (59.0kg), 3rd: Big Orange (59.0kg)

    Review: Godolphin's Spring surge was remarkable. They didn't win the big ones but won nearly every other Cup. They were winning races with three different trainers on the day too.

    This mare ran a belter in the Melbourne Cup staying on late from second last. Even in this race she gave some start away but had closed before being outsprinted.

    However she picked up late and surged over the top. She never looked like winning until the final stride. They've learned which horses to send now.

    Who Shot Thebarman won courtesy of a great ride
    2015 - WHO SHOT THEBARMAN  7g (Yamanin Vital x Ears Carol) ($3.50 eq fav)
    Jockey: James McDonald, Trainer: Chris Waller
    Barrier: 4, Weight: 59.0kg, Gross Time: 2:29.10
    Margin: 7L, Track: Good (3), Starters: 7
    2nd: Tall Ship (59.0kg), 3rd: Do You Remember (57.0kg)

    Review: What a great ride this was. Coming off the Melbourne Cup hasn't been a bad lead up in recent years and given this year was run in a walking way, he wasn't harmed backing off that.

    Sitting back last, McDonald took off at the 1400m and had the lead within 400m. Once he rolled along, the others were in trouble and he pricked his ears before the turn.

    By the 300m mark McDonald was posing for the print. Despite some disappointments in the race, WSTB finally got a deserved win in a prep which was good in all the big races.


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    Social Media & Contacts

    There are various ways to get in contact with us at Racing And Sports. Listed below are several avenues in which you can communicate with the team to express opinions, ask questions or offer ideas.

  • Twitter: RandSRacing


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  • Email: [email protected]


  • We hope you enjoy the Racing And Sports Weekend Newsletter.


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    Racing And Sports Newsletter Issue 552