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Betfair Hub: Expert Tips - 14th December 2023

3 minute read

Best lay bets in Australia for Thursday, December 14 brought to you by expert form analysts from the Betfair Hub.

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Betfair Expert Tips Racing Picture: Racing and Sports

Lay bets are an offering unique to Betfair in Australia where punters can bet AGAINST a particular outcome.

THOROUGHBREDS

Kembla Grange: Race 7; #1 Futtaim Down Arrow

Finished close-up last start but I think he is a horse that will continue to run consistently at this level without winning. He would need to improve his closing sectionals to win this.

Caulfield: Race 1; #7 Pocket Size Down Arrow

I am happy to risk Pocket Size at the price. She was good on debut producing some fast closing sectionals, however I can't back jockey Will Price who is striking at 6% his last 50 against jockeys such as Damian Lane striking at 20% his last 50.

Caulfield: Race 6; #11 Socks Nation Down Arrow

Socks Nation bolted in the last start at Sandown, breaking her maiden in style but did have pattern in favour on that occasion and appears too short here.

GREYHOUNDS

Sandown Park: Race 3; #6 Zipping Minaj Down Arrow

Zipping Minaj has yet to taste defeat and has been ultra-impressive in two runs at The Meadows but it did appear to be only an average Maiden series overall. Now, she changes venues and has yet to have a race here, now has to deal with a full field in a foreign habitat and has to do it from a wide draw that has poor overall winning statistics. Silent Bullet also represents a pest factor in the race which could set the race up for Ethanol Volume to roar home and win. So there are enough variables to take on Zipping Minaj here.

Albion Park: Race 2; #1 Cleopatra Hayze Down Arrow

Cleopatra Hayze ran third in her heat behind Kinematic, beaten five lengths from the inside draw. She didn't have the muster to lead and wanted to use the track heading down the back straight. She has only aced the start once from four occasions and that was from box six. I think she'll be crossed early by both Kinematic and Royal Warren which will leave her an a tricky position if she wants to get off the inside rail.

HARNESS

Shepparton: Race 5; #1 Caesar Nero Down Arrow

Caesar Nero has done a great job in his 3 runs this prep, but tonight he's rising in grade sharply. Nero has good speed all around him early & fast-finishers sitting on him – I just can't see him holding out so many smart types.

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