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Love EPL tips? Betfair's English Premier League Analyst provides his EPL tips and analysis for this week's football action. Betting strategies and previews available now.
WEST HAM VS MANCHESTER UNITED
The race for automatic Europa League qualification heats up as West Ham host Man United. Just one point separates these two sides in the table with Man United (28 points) sitting in 7th place and West Ham (27 points) sitting in 9th. Both clubs will still believe they can capture 4th spot (which would mean Champions League qualification) by seasons end, though this seems unlikely given the strength of rivals.
In their last ten EPL clashes The Red Devils hold a 6-3 record vs The Hammers, with a draw in the mix too. Prior to 2016 West Ham had not beaten Man United in the league since 2007. The 2023 version of Manchester United is a far cry to Fergie's Manchester United juggernaut of the mid 2000's though!
West Ham have scored 29 goals this season which ranks 8th in the league to Man United's lowly 18 goals which ranks 15th. Away from home Man United are poor too, scoring just 8 goals at an average of 1 per game which ranks 16th. West Ham are averaging 1.88 goals a game at home and have the clear offensive edge on their opponents.
A remarkable run with injuries sees The Hammers missing only Michail Antonio, while United are decimated with key players Casemiro, Martinez, Mount, Eriksen, Lindelof, Maguire and Dalot (suspended) all out.
West Ham are a great play here at home. They can trouble MUN with their scoring power including summer signing Mohammed Kudus who has netted three goals in their last two Premier League fixtures at the London Stadium.
Betting Strategy
BACK: West Ham WIN for 1.5 units at $2.76 
BACK: Mohammed Kudus To Score for 0.5 units at $4.4
TOTTENHAM VS EVERTON
Things were looking ominous for Ange's Spurs in November/December after such a bright start to the season. A combination of ill discipline and injuries saw them lose four out of five - conceding goals for fun. However, Tottenham have regained control in their past two fixtures vs Newcastle and Forest, claiming a much needed six points. They sit fifth in the table and are right on the heels of the top four, just one point behind Man City. Spurs biggest asset this season has been their ability to get off to fast starts. They have scored first in their games 82.4% of the time, a clear league best! They have major personnel issues though, with key midfielder Yves Bissouma suspended for four games and left-back revelation Destiny Udogie out through suspension too. Meanwhile, maestro James Maddison and centre-back Micky van de Ven continue to be sidelined through injury.
They meet an inspired Everton outfit here who are riding the crest of a wave. The Toffees have won their last four, managing to keep a clean sheet in all of them. They are statistically the third best defensive team in the league this season, keeping six clean sheets and conceding just 1.18 goals a game on average. One major factor against Everton is that they have only beaten Spurs twice in all competitions in a decade!
This is a really interesting match-up and a hard one to call, but Everton off recent form have to be considered overs!
Small plays on the correct score markets are the way to go in an even contest here with Everton's price not reflective of their strong recent form.
Betting Strategy
BACK: Correct Score 1-1 for 0.5 units at $9.6
BACK: Correct Score 1-2 (Everton) for 0.5 units at $16.5
LIVERPOOL VS ARSENAL
A mouth-watering top of the table clash awaits at Anfield on Sunday morning with league leaders Arsenal taking on Liverpool.
The Reds are undefeated in their last ten Premier League games against The Gunners at Anfield, with Arsenal's last win coming way back in 2012! Both defences in 2023/24 have been outstanding and nearly identical in overall output, conceding 0.88 goals per match on average (15 goals apiece), but Arsenal have the slight edge on the clean sheet count leading 7-6.
In attack, Liverpool have an ever so slight edge - creating 2.59 chances per match on average to Arsenal's 1.94. They've also scored 36 goals to Arsenal's 35. An intriguing stat is that Arsenal have scored first in 70% of their Premier League games this season, while Liverpool have opened the account in under 50% of their games. However, Liverpool have secured 19 points from losing positions (a clear league best), while Arsenal have won nine.
A huge factor in this clash will be fresh legs. Liverpool had a midweek Carabao Cup clash vs West Ham (A 5-1 win), while Arsenal sat at home and prepared solely for this season definer. On the injury front Arsenal are going great guns with only Thomas Partey missing from their starting eleven. The same cannot be said for Liverpool who are missing key men Thiago, Diogo Jota, Andy Robertson, Alexis Mac Allister and Ryan Gravenberch. Could this prove decisive?
These teams are very difficult to separate on paper and also with the stats available, but there's a sense of timing about Arsenal.
A leaning to Arsenal in this one with a majority full squad to pick from. They can break their Anfield duck and bring all three points back to London.
Betting Strategy
BACK: Arsenal WIN for 1 unit at $3.00
BACK: Under 2.5 goals for 2 units at $2.34
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