3 minute read
Best lay bets in Australia for Wednesday, February 21 brought to you by expert form analysts from the Betfair Hub.
Lay bets are an offering unique to Betfair in Australia where punters can bet AGAINST a particular outcome.
THOROUGHBREDS
Sensical got beaten as a long odds on favourite in a much weaker race than this last start at Yarra Glen. She comes out of maiden grade despite not winning and faces the likes of Pia Mia, who started $4 vs Amigo last start.
Strathalbyn: Race 3; #10 Reel Whiskey 
Willing to take on early market fave Reel Whiskey who has a shocking race map to deal with today being drawn out in the widest barrier. There are runners drawn under him with early speed which may see him ending up getting posted out wide and doing a lot of extra work for a position which is the risk.
Plain first-up and never shown much ability at any stage. Would need to improve to beat 9 and 12. Happy to be against sub $3.50 here.
Hawkesbury: Race 1; #3 Counterpart
Produced an average overall figure first-up over this trip and although fitter I think there will be others sprinting better than him at the end of the race. Further, jockey Tyler Schiller has just the one winner from his last fifty rides.
GREYHOUNDS
The Meadows: Race 2; #3 Lukiali
Lukiali can be risky early and I'm potting him at the short price he has opened in early markets. Some of these Dailly dogs have some upside mainly Rie Bale and Cabao Lupis. Squiggle and Twenty Deep also have similar early patterns to Lukiali so hopefully they can get in the way and can barrack for the field to beat Lukiali.
The Meadows: Race 5; #4 Misses Easy
Misses Easy looks the likely leader but the slightly smaller field is likely to be a negative. If any of these opponents lob right behind her as they are going into the back straight then I think she will be swallowed up in the closing stages.
The Meadows: Race 6; #7 Zipping Arlo
Zipping Arlo has never raced over anything further that 520m and this is a tricky 600m race and this looks a poor draw. If Joan's Gem gets a start she may keep the Zipping Arlo at bay. If Tully Luna or Maximum Moreland can get around the first turn safely I think one of these will get the job done.
The Meadows: Race 7; #7 Adzuki Monelli
This is his third start in Victoria and his third poor draw. He is having no luck with wide draws. He has had 12 starts from Boxes 6-8 and is yet to win. Add in racing at a new venue in what is a handy race overall and there is enough negative variables to Lay.
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