3 minute read

Tips and race by race preview by Nick Berney for Friday’s Tamworth meeting. Selections based on a good track. Monitor for bias/pattern.

6. Oakfield Redgum had factors against last start at Muswellbrook 21 days ago in a strong time race that has produced a subsequent winner to confirm the form. Further, she had the pace/bias against her and lost all momentum before the home turn after being checked/blocked. To her credit, she picked herself back up, and Punter's Intelligence recorded she ran one of the fastest final 200m splits of the entire meeting in 11.64. The three-year-old filly is set to peak third-up, brings the best last start figure and will be hard to beat with even luck.

Dangers: 3. Riley Park was slowly away last start at Gunnedah and had too much to do. He receives a significant barrier change which will allow him to settle closer and the step up in distance is ideal. 13. Suva May was solid last start at this track/distance, and a repeat of that performance can put her in the finish. 8. Angela Sistina maps to control the pace and may get the track pattern to suit. Add 11. Seething Seb and 18. Sharkosphere to trifectas and first fours.

How to play it: Oakfield Redgum WIN ($2.30 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: SPLIT.

Leaning towards 5. Tyquendo, who was well-fancied first-up at this track $7.50-$5.50 late in the trade but missed the start badly and then struggled to get into the race after that. Forgiving of that effort and if he can bounce back to his form from last preparation, he has multiple winning figures for this event. In addition, he has key gear changes, dry ground suits and a favourable map.

Dangers: 10. Power Conductor was solid last start off a 48-day break, running second in a fast time race with decisive margins throughout. He is an improver back to a dry track where he produces all his peak figures, and a senior rider in Andrew Gibbons goes on. Debutant 4. Satay Chicken has trialled well in a strong heat behind Burning Crown, which has since run well. He is a key late market watch and will roll forward. 9. Perseptina maps to settle worse than midfield but will undoubtedly be savaging the line with blinkers on for the first time.

How to play it: Tyquendo WIN ($7.50 TAB Fixed Odds) & Power Conductor WIN ($8.50 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: SPLIT.

6. Russian Standard has trialled well for new trainer Cody Morgan without blinkers and went through the line full of energy. The three-year-old gelding was brave in defeat first-up last preparation at Kembla in a high-rating race where he beat the rest easily. That race rated highly relative to the day after adjusting for age, class and additional factors historically. Additionally, three subsequent winners have come out of that race and confirmed the form/quality. The blinkers go on for race day; he has a strong starting price profile and has dominant figures relative to his rivals. Hard to beat with even luck.

Dangers: 14. Caroline Bay was well backed on debut at Newcastle $9-$5 late in the trade and tried hard. She will have to contest with a tricky draw but will be hitting the line hard. 4. Polylithic has trialled well in a recent heat at Scone. She has natural gate speed and will give a sight. 9. Lovelier is back in distance but may have the last shot.

How to play it: Russian Standard WIN ($2.00 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: EVENS.

3. Emissive who resumes, has trialled well enough in her recent heat behind The Bopper and is ready to run well here. She produced a career peak figure first-up last preparation that aligns well relative to her opposition and repeating that effort will put her in the finish. Moreover, expect her to find cover and hit the line.

Dangers: 1. Ostracised led at a moderate tempo at this track/distance first-up and battled on ok to hold onto fourth place. Further, the winner of that race Le Melody, although well beaten in her next start, started $1.20 in the market, and that correlation must be respected. He will roll forward and give a sight. 7. Be My Romeo went out a winner last prep on a career peak figure. He may get run to suit and it is a knockout chance. 6. Hiraishin is suited back in distance and is an honest type.

How to play it: Emissive WIN ($4.20 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: ODDS.

10. Cliffs Of Moher, who represents value, profiles well for this race. The five-year-old gelding got too far back last start at Moree three days ago and hit the line hard. He receives a senior jockey; his sectional profile suggests he's ready to win, and the step back up to 1600m is ideal. In addition, the gelding's career peak figure was on a quick backup and repeating that effort will see him in the finish.

Dangers: 14. The Towers has improved significantly since joining trainer Dale Wagstaff who has made some key gear changes. He ran well at this track/distance last start in a stronger grade and can settle closer from a softer draw. 3. Exolay ran on well into third at Gunnedah last start and posted one of the fastest final 200m splits of the meeting in 11.56. She is as consistent as they come and has a definite chance. 6. Starboard Light was suited by the pace/bias when breaking through for his maiden win at Dubbo. He is on an upwards ratings spiral and can improve again. Add 13. Badboy McCoy to all exotics.

How to play it: Cliffs Of Moher WIN ($15 TAB Fixed Odds) & The Towers WIN ($12 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: EVENS.

8. Acotango is a nice type and broke through for his maiden win in style at this track 14 days ago. The two-year-old started a rock-solid $2.10 favourite and unleashed a strong sprint running his final 400m/200m splits in 24.96/12.52. He is on an upwards ratings spiral this preparation; the step up in distance is ideal and can make the step-in grade.

Dangers: 1. Global Encounter produced a career peak figure when winning at Gunnedah first-up. He has come back improved, will roll forward and has a tactical map advantage over some of his key rivals. 2. Tiempe Passate ran over the top of her competition in the final stages at this track/distance to score last start. She will look to replicate the same tactics from the wide draw and is a consistent galloper. Add 3. Afewchoicewords and 13. Oakfield Tepee to trifectas and first fours.

How to play it: Acotango WIN ($4.60 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: SPLIT.

5. Daksha resumes without an official trial and raced well in stronger grade last preparation. The form guide doesn't do the gelding justice with three first-up efforts for zero wins/places. However, he has had significant factors against him on all three occasions and started favourite on his past two attempts. He maps well and can sprint fresh.

Dangers: 10. Anubis led at a genuine tempo at Grafton last start in a high-rating race and didn't see the trip out. The step back in distance is ideal; he races at his home track and will roll forward. 2. Impact Star will have to overcome the tricky gate but has multiple winning figures for this event. Expect him to be savaging the line. 3. Lonely Power will be fitter, maps well, and Aaron Bullock goes back on. 12. Furphy is more suited to a wet track but is a market watch for new trainer Cody Morgan.

How to play it: Daksha WIN ($14 TAB Fixed Odds) & Anubis WIN ($11 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: SPLIT.

10. Very Sharp resumes without an official public trial but races well fresh. The four-year-old mare got too far back in a moderate tempo first-up last preparation and was solid in defeat. Further, she was checked/blocked in the straight but hit the line hard once clear, running some of the fastest final 600m/400/200m splits of the entire meeting in 33.44/22.38/11.24. She has strong form lines for this assignment, is suited on a dry surface and receives a senior jockey in Grant Buckley, who has ridden her three times for a win and a second. Each-way.

Dangers: 9. Trumped Up was a dominant winner at this track/distance last start and gets key factors in his favour today. He maps well and is coming off a career peak figure. 1. Highlights went out a winner last prep and has trialled strongly. The gelding is more suited over a further distance, but his class will take him a long way. 4. Into The Fire overcame difficulties to win last start and 6. Casino Kid will undoubtedly be running on hard.

How to play it: Very Sharp E/W ($12 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: SPLIT.