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Read our AFL expert tips and analysis for every game in this season of the 2024 premiership season with Betfair’s AFL betting expert Joel Cashman. Includes game summaries, AFL expert tips and best Back and Lay bets for every round.
WESTERN BULLDOGS VS SYDNEY
The Swans appear to be the team to beat at this early stage of the season, with a 9-1 record and winning their last six straight matches- convincingly with an average winning margin of 67 points- and knocking off fellow top-8 sides Gold Coast, GWS, Melbourne, Collingwood and Essendon so far this season.
The Western Bulldogs have been a difficult team to judge early in the season, with their 5-5 record accurately reflecting their up and down form.
Sydney have won three of their last four against the Western Bulldogs. With this positive record in recent times as well as the Swans blistering form, they look the more confident of the two sides to secure the win.
Betting Strategy
BACK- Sydney @ $1.55
they look the more confident of the two sides to secure the win.
FREMANTLE VS COLLINGWOOD
Collingwood are one of the form teams in the competition, being undefeated in their last seven straight matches and storming into the top-8.
The Magpies have won their last three matches against Fremantle by margins of 36 (at Optus Stadium), 20 and 46 points.
Fremantle are currently favourites against the Magpies with their 6-4 record, however; none of those 6 wins have come against sides currently in the top-10 on the ladder. They have their work cut out for them against the Pies who are second in the favouritsm for the Premiership.
Betting Strategy
LAY- Fremantle @ $1.75
Fremantle are currently favourites against the Magpies with their 6-4 record, however; none of those 6 wins have come against sides currently in the top-10 on the ladder.
NORTH MELBOURNE VS PORT ADELAIDE
North Melbourne have lost eight of their last nine matches at Blundstone Arena, with those losses coming at an average margin of 52 points.
During this time, Port Adelaide played against North Melbourne twice- winning by 70 and 69 points.
North Melbourne have only covered the line once in the last nine matches as the underdog and have lost by 40+ points in seven of their last eight matches.
Port Adelaide have won their last four straight encounters with North Melbourne by an average margin of 56.75 points
Betting Strategy
BACK- Port Adelaide Line (-41.5 pts) @ $1.87
Port Adelaide have won their last four straight encounters with North Melbourne by an average margin of 56.75 points
CARLTON VS GOLD COAST
All four of Gold Coast's losses this season have been at venues where they don't have the home ground advantage- losing these four games by an average margin of 40 points.
The six matches Gold Coast have won so far have all taken place at Carrara Stadium or TIO Stadium in Darwin.
The Blues have had a dip in form, playing against some of the better sides in the competition, but this home matchup against Gold Coast could get them back on track, having won both encounters with the Suns last season.
Carlton have won seven of their last nine games at Marvel Stadium.
Betting Strategy
BACK- Carlton @ $1.42
All four of Gold Coast's losses this season have been at venues where they don't have the home ground advantage- losing these four games by an average margin of 40 points.
GEELONG VS GWS
With both sides having form slumps- Geelong losing three on the trot and GWS losing four of their last five- its best to stay away from a result for this matchup and look to the overs and unders.
Five of Geelong's last six dry games have been some of the highest scoring matches of the season. The total points for these six matches come out at an average of 202 points!
Seven of the last nine matches Geelong have played in have ticked over the total.
Matches involving GWS have hit the overs in three of the last five times.
Betting Strategy
BACK- Total Match Points Over 181.5 @ $1.87
Seven of the last nine matches Geelong have played in have ticked over the total.
Matches involving GWS have hit the overs in three of the last five times.
RICHMOND VS ESSENDON
Richmond's injury toll this season has depleted their starting lineup and led them towards a six game losing streak.
The Tigers have failed to cover the line in their last five matches and have an average losing margin of 69 points across this period.
Essendon have had some tough battles in recent weeks, but haven't lost in their last six straight matches!
Betting Strategy
BACK- Essendon Line (-42.5 pts) @ $1.87
The Tigers have failed to cover the line in their last five matches and have an average losing margin of 69 points across this period
HAWTHORN VS BRISBANE
The Hawks have been the thorn in Lions side over the last four seasons, with Hawthorn winning their last four straight matches against Brisbane.
Brisbane have played finals in all four of these seasons whilst Hawthorn have been down the bottom of the ladder and undergoing a rebuild.
Hawthorn is an improved side at Marvel Stadium compared to other venues, winning four of their last five matches under the roof.
The Hawks have also successfully covered the line as the underdog in their last three matches.
Betting Strategy
BACK- Hawthorn Line (+16.5 pts) @ $1.87
The Hawks have also successfully covered the line as the underdog in their last three matches
MELBOURNE VS ST.KILDA
Melbourne and St Kilda have been two of the lowest scoring teams and some of the best defensive sides this season.
Matches with St Kilda have gone under the total in seven of the last eight rounds- the most of any side during this period. The total points of matches involving St Kilda come at an average of 149 points.
Five of the last six Melbourne matches have gone under the total, with their average total match points being 151.7 points- the 3rd lowest of any side in 2024.
Betting Strategy
BACK- Total Points Under 153.5 @ $1.87
ADELAIDE VS WEST COAST
Adelaide have won their last four straight matches against the Eagles in impressive fashion, with an average winning margin of 53.5 points.
Despite their improved form this season, the Eagles haven't been the same force away from home. In their four away matches in 2024, West Coast have lost all four matches by an average margin of 57 points and failed to cover the line on every occasion.
West Coast have lost their last six matches at Adelaide Oval, with the closest margin during this time coming at 31 points.
Betting Strategy
BACK- Adelaide Line (-27.5 pts) $ 1.87
West Coast have lost their last six matches at Adelaide Oval, with the closest margin during this time coming at 31 points.
AFL TIPS AND BETTING STRATEGIES
Welcome to Betfair's AFL Tipping page for 2024! You will find AFL previews, betting tips and strategies for the 2024 premiership season from our team of footy experts. With 18 teams in the AFL, 24 rounds this season made up of 207 matches, the team at Betfair is here to help you navigate the season from a betting point of view. We'll be providing our expert picks for every game and once the regular season is over and we are left with 8 finals teams, the tips don't stop there as we've got you covered for the finals series as well.
Each week, we'll be putting out betting advice for every game of the round including best bets for the week, value picks, lay tips and player prop selections. These will range from margin picks, first goal scorers, who to bet at the line and of course who the Betfair team think will win each game. When making their weekly AFL tips, our experts will look at recent form, statistics from throughout the season, historical trends and rely on their developed betting knowledge giving you informed selections backed up by data.
The latest AFL tips will be posted on this page each week as teams get released for the round as the in and outs of each team can dramatically impact who wins a game of football. This is why it's also important to keep an eye out for late changes teams may swing, and adjust your betting strategies accordingly. For example, if a key defender is out, the opposing team's key forward might be due for a big game.
A great feature of Betfair is that you'll be able to put our tips on the Betfair Hub to use on the Betfair Exchange as not only does Betfair provide expert betting content, we are also a betting exchange where punters can bet against each other. You've got a wide range of AFL markets on the exchange which our tips cover including futures markets like the premiership market, top 4, top 8, wooden spoon and much more.
Our tipping content is tailored to the unique features you'll only find on the Betfair Exchange making it the perfect place to action the tips you'll find on this page. Simply click on the blue and pink widgets next to the tips depending on whether you want to back or lay the tip, and you'll be taken straight to the correlating market on the exchange where you can place your bets.
Not only have we got weekly footy tipping content, but Betfair also has a wide range of AFL related betting articles that'll keep you informed throughout the 2024 football calendar which you can find here. So what are you waiting for? Kick your AFL season into gear with premium AFL betting tips thanks to the Betfair Hub. Play your way with Betfair.
